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The disproportionate role of high-impact, hard to predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations
in history, science, finance and technology.The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using
scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities) .
A voyaging ship was wrecked during a storm at sea and only two of the men aboard were able to swim to a small,
desert-like island. Not knowing what else to do, the two survivors agreed that they had no other recourse than to pray to God.
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